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Historically, it is often challenging to simply assess the profound impact of any technology on strategic stability. Although Starlink originates from the civilian sector, it is poised to become a critical force for the United States in advancing the militarization and weaponization of outer space. Its influence on the outer space security environment broadly reflects in various aspects such as exacerbating the arms race in space, reshaping the vulnerability of space assets, escalating outer space conflicts, and potentially triggering space wars. Accurately analyzing, evaluating, and assessing the profound impact of Starlink on global strategic stability, and proposing counter-strategies, holds significant theoretical and practical importance. Therefore, this paper first reviews the latest trends in the militarization development of Starlink by the United States. Based on this, it builds a theoretical framework to understand Starlink’s impact on global strategic stability from three aspects: first-strike stability, crisis stability, and arms race stability. Additionally, it attempts to propose preliminary counter-strategy suggestions for addressing these challenges and achieving security governance.

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朱文,资深行业分析师,长期关注行业前沿动态,擅长深度报道与趋势研判。

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